American Football 2 November 2012
“Falcons or Panthers to chase down the Saints?”
Big Jim gives his weekly preview and tips for Week 9 of the 2017 NFL Season…read more
Plenty of clutch games this week in the NFL which makes for an exciting week. Two big NFC South Divisional match-ups head the line up early on before an absolute crunch matchup between the Chiefs who travel to Dallas to take on the Cowboys. The Sunday and Monday Night games might not be the best games on paper but both are crucial encounters that I am actually really excited about both.
We had another winning week here at www.bigjimwins.com last weekend but it was hard work. We lost a host of bets late in the last quarter which stopped us having a huge winning week. The positive sign is that we are still well up for the year and we keep posting winning numbers even though we can’t take a trick in the close ones. Maybe this will be the week where we post some REALLY huge numbers.
Let’s get underway:
Thursday Night Football
Bills @ Jets
A win here for the Bills would take them to 6:2. Who would have thought that could have happened this year? A new coach with a basic no mistake game plan and some underrated stars in key positions have turned this dream into a reality. All they have to do tonight is grind this one out. The Jets will lift early but if the Bills can stay solid, tackle hard and not turn over the ball they will win this game. They have done exactly that all year so why change now. Bills in a low scoring game for me.
Big Jim Handicap: +5.5/41
Ladbrokes Market: 3/42.5
3 Unit Bet on Bills -3 at the line
1 Unit Bet Total Points Scored UNDER 42.5
Sunday Early Games
Colts @ Texans
This game comes at a good time for the Texans. They will be tired after last week but have to lift at home here today. At least the Colts are going to be carrying similar mental scars from their late 4th quarter loss to the Bengals as well. This Texan side will be very very good in the future but if they want to keep this year alive then they have to win this one and claw themselves back to 4:4. The Texans are the best team in football at the moment with a losing record.
Big Jim Handicap: -10/45
Ladbrokes Market: -13.5/53
1 Unit Bet on Colts +13.5 at the line
3 Unit Bet Total Points Scored UNDER 53
Bengals @ Jaguars
Ok Jags time to stand up!!! If the Jags are the real deal then they win this football game. Even if they are only average they SHOULD win this football game regardless. Two weeks to prepare for this one should see the Jags shine under the Florida sun. Anything short of a dominant display and an easy win would be a concern.
Big Jim Handicap: -7.5/42.5
Ladbrokes Market: -4.5/39.5
2 Unit Bet on Jaguars -4.5 at the line
2 Unit Bet Total Points Scored 39.5
Buccaneers @ Saints
The Bucs have pretty much blown their season. So much talent and such little output. I like the Saints to keep their roll going even though this screams as a danger game for them. I am keeping the faith due to the exploits of one man. Drew Brees is just an inspiration and he will keep this ship steering straight. This is also the best Saints D we have seen in years and if they continue to improve “Who Dat” could be a serious team.
Big Jim Handicap: -7/46.5
Ladbrokes Market: -6.5/51
1 Unit Bet on Saints -6.5 at the line
2 Unit Bet Total Points Scored UNDER 51
Rams @ Giants
Very interesting game this one. The Rams just have to keep winning. The Seahawks revival makes that imperative. This game could well turn into a grind which you would think favours the G-Men at home. I think that this Rams side might have a bit more maturity than some think and I think that the Rams can find a way (and cover the spread) even if the game isn’t played on their terms.
Big Jim Handicap: +3.5/38.5
Ladbrokes Market: +3/41.5
2 Unit Bet on Rams -3 at the line
2 Unit Bet Total Points Scored UNDER 41.5
Falcons @ Panthers
Both of these sides are lucky to be batting over .500 this year. This is one hell of a crazy Division. With the Saints now a serious contender for the title a Divisional loss here for either side is going to make it a tough run home. This game is too close to call so when that happens look for the value.
Big Jim Handicap: pick/46.5
Ladbrokes Market: -1/44
1 Unit Bet on Falcons to WIN the game (Money line)
2 Unit Bet Total Points Scored OVER 44
Broncos @ Eagles
The Eagles are the only team that has only one blemish for the season. I don’t think that is going to change tonight. At some stage the Eagles are going to be tested but at home against the Broncos is a dream match-up for Philly. It might not be pretty but the Eagles should just grind out the win. UNDER the best play by a mile as the line is big.
Big Jim Handicap: -9.5/41
Ladbrokes Market: -8/44
1 Unit Bet on Eagles -8 at the line
3 Unit Bet Total Points Scored UNDER 44
Ravens @ Titans
Titans are another one of these teams with a winning record but a negative points differential. Its been a strange old NFL season. The Titans have had two weeks to contemplate just how close they came to giving the Browns their first win of the season. The Ravens are coming off a false high against the Dolphins and I think they are ripe for the picking today. I think the Titans keep their winning start to the season going and they should make a dent on that differential. I am assuming this game is still down due to Mariota. I have handicapped this game with Marcus suiting up for the Titans. If he plays I think they win easily in a low scoring game.
Big Jim Handicap: -6.5/42
Ladbrokes Market: NO MARKET AVAILABLE at time of publication.
### Unit Bet on #### at the line
### Unit Bet Total Points Scored ####
Sunday Late Games
Cardinals @ 49ers
What a horrible game this could be! I am going to remain positive and I actually think it might be more entertaining than many think. How the Cards have won 3 games this year I will never know. They are a well below average football team but come into San Francisco rested and with an edge on talent. The 9ers have had a heart-break kind of year and it will be interesting to see what kind of a distraction the Garoppolo signing has had. An early round second round pick next year seems a sweet deal for the Pats but time will tell if the 9ers have also done well out of the trade. I predict that the team that gets on top today might run away with it at the end. Both teams will believe they can win this game and its going to a soul destroyer for the loser.
Big Jim Handicap: +3.5/43
Ladbrokes Market: +2.5/39.5
2 Unit Bet on Cardinals -2.5 at the line
2 Unit Bet Total Points Scored OVER 39.5
Redskins @ Seahawks
The Seahawks just keep on getting lucky. How they won that shoot-out last weekend I will never know. Things outside of their control always fall their way. I don’t want to back the Seahawks here today as I am still far from convinced about them but “as always” they get the Redskins at the perfect time. The Skins have been brave this year but last weeks crushing home loss has basically ended their season. No run, no receivers and no offensive linesmen. You would think the Legion of Boom gets down and dirty with the Skins Offence today. UNDER seems like a gift.
Big Jim Handicap: -7/42.5
Ladbrokes Market: -7/46
NO Bet at the line
3 Unit Bet Total Points Scored UNDER 46
Chiefs @ Cowboys
Well the Elliot show appears to be sidelined yet again. This time I think it might just stick. This is really going to hurt the Cowboys. I tend to think that good running backs are nearly as hard to replace as good QB’s. The big plus’s for the Cowboys is that Jason Garrett is now one of the best coaches in the game and they are at home. The Cowboys run won’t be as effective without their big smash mouth wrecking ball but it isn’t going to totally suck either. The Chiefs will have to improve after a sloppy effort against the Broncos. Its strange to get such an important game mid season with so many unknown variables at play. I agree with the market that this is a coin flip but I really like the UNDER here.
Big Jim Handicap: pick/46.5
Ladbrokes Market: pick 52
NO Bet at the line
3 Unit Bet Total Points Scored UNDER 52
Sunday Night Football
Raiders @ Dolphins
Why am I so excited about this game. Both teams have been horrible this year. Both are a shadow of what they last year, but both amazingly still have reason for optimism with a win here tonight. There is a plethora of talent on show here and its just going to come down to who “brings” it the best on the night. The most important player tonight is Mack without any doubt. If Miami can stop the pass rush then they win. If Oakland can push the Miami line back and Mack can torment the Dolphins passing game like Suggs and Co did last week then they will win. Its an intriguing match-up. I am all over the Fins because I also think their D is far better than the puke they served up in Baltimore.
Big Jim Handicap: -2.5/42
Ladbrokes Market: +3.5/44.5
3 Unit Bet on Dolphins +3.5 at the line
2 Unit Bet Total Points Scored UNDER 44.5
Monday Night Football
Lions @ Packers
Houston is the best team with a losing record in the NFL but the Lions aren’t far behind. It took me three days of round the clock electric shock treatment to get over last Sundays Lions loss to the Steelers. Would love to know how Matt Stafford dealt with it. If this was in Detroit then you could go ahead and give this game to Lions before the kick-off but with it being in Green Bay it makes things very interesting. The Pack have had 2 weeks to sort out their offence and even though Rogers is gone he set them up with a good start to the season. Its going to be one hell of an interesting game but I am going to be all over Stafford and the Lions to sort out their red zone blues tonight.
Big Jim Handicap: +4.5/45
Ladbrokes Market: +2.5/43.5
3 Unit Bet on Lions -2.5 at the line
2 Unit Bet Total Points Scored OVER 43.5