American Football 18 October 2017
“Heavenly Saints and a Super Bowl replay!”
Big Jim takes a look at everything that matters in Week 7 of the 2017 NFL Season…read more
Super Bowl replay. The Packers with no Rogers. Are the Skins contenders or pretenders in the NFC East? Are the Cardinals one week wonders or have they found their MOJO again? These and many more questions will be answered in an exciting week coming up in the NFL.
Lets get down to business.
Thursday Night Football
Chiefs @ Raiders
Big games here tonight. Its one of those strange scenario’s where the stakes for the loser is higher. A loss for the Raiders pretty much ends their season. A loss for the Chiefs and all that early season momentum will be a thing of the past with two consecutive defeats. The Raiders will lift but are they going well enough to beat the Chiefs? I think the simple answer to that is no. Great match-up.
Big Jim Handicaps: +6.5/46.5
Ladbrokes Market: +3/46.5
3 Unit Bet Chiefs -3 at the line
No BET Total Points scored
Buccaneers @ Bills
Plenty to like about the Bills tonight. The Buc’s have injuries and are coming back off a thumping on the road (it was a thumping don’t worry about the final score). The Bills have had two weeks to get ready for this and they will believe they can win. The problem is that the Bucs have the better list and its one of those games where you have to line up form with potential ability. UNDER probably the safest option depending on where it opens obviously. No market available due to Winston injury. I have handicapped this with Winston PLAYING. If he doesn’t play probably goes to around -6.5/40.
Big Jim Handicaps: -1.5/40.5
Ladbrokes Market: NO MARKET AVAILABLE
### Unit Bet #### at the line
### Unit Bet Total Points scored #####
Ravens @ Vikings
What a week for the Vikings. Along with the Saints they all of a sudden gain relevance in 2017. Tonight we find out if they are the real deal. The Ravens continue to mix their form and its hard to see Flacco and his mob scoring enough to trouble the Vikes at home.
Big Jim Handicaps: -6/41
Ladbrokes Market: -5.5/40
1 Unit Bet Vikings -5.5 at the line
1 Unit Bet Total Points scored OVER 40
Jets @ Dolphins
The Dolphins are 3:2 and have averaged 12.2 points a game on offence. They have a point differential of -23. 2 points worse than the 3:3 Jets who have a point differential of -21. So what does that mean? Well, both teams are finding ways to win but aren’t dominant in any regard. The Jets were good against the Pats but the Dolphins might just have found their MOJO. Dolphins at home should be too good. Just a question of the margin. The upside for the Fins is way higher than the Jets who have played above and beyond their list in their first 6 games.
Big Jim Handicaps: -9/43
Ladbrokes Market: -3.5/39
3 Unit Bet Dolphins -3.5 at the line
2 Unit Bet Total Points scored OVER 39
Cardinals @ Rams
You just never know how a team can find its feet. Angry Peterson rocks into the desert and the Cards look a totally different team. Its a good fit for both the Cards and Angry who both need an offence created around the run. The Rams got lucky against the Jags but they were due some luck. I like the Rams to keep the roll going today. Again just margin concerns.
Big Jim Handicaps: -7/46.5
Ladbrokes Market: -3.5/47
3 Unit Bet Rams -3.5 at the line
1 Unit Bet Total Points scored UNDER 47
Jaguars @ Colts
The Colts were brave in the first half against the Texans. The problem is that without Luck they are predictable on offence. The Jags were average last week which means they should be world beaters this week. Important clash here for both franchises if they want to compete with the Texans and Titans.
Big Jim Handicaps: +6/44
Ladbrokes Market: +3/44
2 Unit Bet Jaguars -3 at the line
No BET Total Points Scored
Saints @ Packers
Fascinating game. The Saints should win and with the rest of their division showing signs of cracking they will be getting excited down South. Why this game is so interesting is that Green Bay and their young untested QB are going to have to attack as we know that Brees and the Saints will score. This is a good thing I think for the Packers. I just think the Packers are going to be more competitive at home than many people think.
Big Jim Handicaps: +4/50
Ladbrokes Market: +5/48
1 Unit Bet Packers +5 at the line
1 Unit Bet Total Points scored OVER 48
Panthers @ Bears
This is a serious danger game for the Panthers. They really have to win this one and the Bears will believe they are going pretty well. The Bears have beaten the best two teams in the AFC North already this year. I think it is going to be hard for this young Bears outfit to put in two big giant beating performances on the trot this year even though they are at Soldier Field today. They will come out and give it a crack but I just think the Panthers might have the answers today. Let’s just hope for good weather and some scoring.
Big Jim Handicaps: +5.5/45.5
Ladbrokes Market: +3/40.5
2 Unit Bet Panthers -3 at the line
3 Unit Bet Total Points scored OVER 40.5
Titans @ Browns
The Titans were average winning on Monday night and they have a short week to prepare for this one. The good news is, however, that they get the Browns who have been worse than we could have ever thought they were going to be in 2017. If the Titans are the real deal they win here and win well.
Big Jim Handicaps: +7.5/44.5
Ladbrokes Market: +5.5/47
2 Unit Bet Titans -5.5 at the line
2 Unit Bet Total Points scored UNDER 47
Cowboys @ 49ers
This is always a great match-up. The two clubs have such a great history against each other. Elliot continues to find judges that are willing to keep him on the field. If he wasn’t there I might be tempted to take the 49ers but as long as he continues to play they are going to use him all day long. An extra week to prepare, 49ers coming off another heart-breaker, there are just too many ticks for the Cowboys in this one. It might be the day the dam bursts if the Cowboys get out to an early lead.
Big Jim Handicaps: +9.5/46.5
Ladbrokes Market: -6/46.5
3 Unit Bet Cowboys -6 at the line
No BET Total Points scored
Broncos @ Chargers
I love the Chargers today. That is something you will very rarely hear me say. The Broncos are SO over-rated. Their offence is horrible and the Chargers should dish it up to them just as bad as the Giants did on Sunday Night. The Giants killed the Broncos in the secondary and the Chargers should kill them on the pass rush. Mr Complainer should have enough under centre for the Chargers to get away with this. Might not be a lot of offence so love the UNDER as well. Great betting options on what might be an average game.
Big Jim Handicaps: -6.5/36
Ladbrokes Market: -1.5/42
3 Unit Bet Chargers -1.5 at the line
3 Unit Bet Total Points scored UNDER 42
Bengals @ Steelers
The Bengals will be feeling a lot better about themselves their horrible start to the season. I think they come crashing back down to earth in Pittsburgh today. If the Steelers defence continues to improve they should give Andy Dalton plenty of headaches. Bell is back and should skip around the Cincy D like a rabbit running down a hill.
Big Jim Handicaps: -12.5/46.5
Ladbrokes Market: -5.5/42.5
3 Unit Bet Steelers -5.5 at the line
2 Unit Bet Total Points scored OVER 42.5
Seahawks @ Giants
If you like free flowing football with plenty of offence on show; Get as far away from this game as you possibly can. This one will come down to which Offence doesn’t implode the worst. The Giants can win this. The Seahawks are an average football team. Great betting game on a dour game that could go either way.
Big Jim Handicaps: pick/35
Ladbrokes Market: +6/40.5
3 Unit Bet Giants at the line
3 Unit Bet Total Points scored UNDER 40.5
Sunday Night Football
Falcons @ Patriots
This is just going to be a blockbuster. Nothing more, nothing less. Both teams have struggled this year but considering what went down in the Super Bowl less than a year ago this will be an emotional night. Hard to handicap here. Anything could happen and the UNDER seems like a GREAT option considering its 56 and I expect that both teams might take awhile to ease into this game.
Big Jim Handicaps: -4/48.5
Ladbrokes Market: -3.5/56
No BET at the line
3 Unit Bet Total Points scored UNDER 56
Monday Night Football
Redskins @ Eagles
This is a good Monday Night Game. NFC East games are always good. The four teams have always hated each other and fans of both these two teams are pretty happy right at this point in time. The line is on the mark, so lean towards the UNDER as my proffered play of the night.
Big Jim Handicaps: -4/46.5
Ladbrokes Market: -5/49
1 Unit Bet Redskins +5 at the line
2 Unit Bet Total Points scored UNDER 49